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Rabu, 05 Juli 2023

Fantasy Baseball Trade Values: Rest-of-season rankings for H2H Categories leagues; Bobby Witt improving? - CBS Sports

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Ask most Fantasy Baseball players, and they'll tell you Bobby Witt Jr. has been a disappointment this season. Coming off an exciting, but often frustrating rookie season, he was still pushed to the bring of Round 1 in a lot of drafts this season, with the expectation that he'd take a big step forward, and that just isn't what we've seen so far.

Witt hit .254/.296/.428 last season, his first in the majors, and his .254/.296/.430 line entering play Wednesday is basically identical. Which means, he's actually been a tiny bit worse than he was last season – the raw number is effectively the same, but it's happening in a season where the league OPS has jumped from .706 to .730. Witt has, on a per-PA basis, actually been slightly worse than last season once you account for the league as a whole hitting better, and the fact that he's running a whole lot more than he did last season is only partially offsetting that, given that we've already seen nearly 75% as many steals as all of last year, league-wide. 

So, Witt is stagnating, right? That's what I thought, but when I took a look at his stats yesterday, I was pleasantly surprised. See, while the surface-level numbers look largely the same, when you crack under the hood, it's clear, Witt has taken a step forward this season.

Primarily, it's coming from the kind of contact Witt is making. His plate discipline remains less-than-ideal, though he has shaved 1.1 percentage points off his strikeout rate while walking a bit more. But that's not where Witt has shown the most improvement.

No, Witt's growth has come, rather naturally, from the quality of contact he's generating. Witt's average exit velocity has jumped up 0.9 mph, while his line drive rate has jumped up to 28.7%, a very good mark. He's hitting the ball at the right launch angles more often (sweet-spot% is up to 36.4% from 32.5%, an above-average mark), and he's hitting the ball harder. Those are good things.

Add it all up, and Witt's expected batting average has jumped from .252 to .288, while his expected slugging percentage is all the way up from .427 to .512. Last season, Witt played right about at his expected stats, but so far this season, he's way underperforming; the gap between his expected wOBA (.360) and his actual wOBA (.312) is the sixth-largest in baseball. And, while he does play in a tough home park, Witt's speed (he remains arguably the fastest player in baseball) should help him overcome at least some of that.

Which is to say, there's a gap between how Witt is perceived and what he seems likely to do moving forward. Expected stats are not perfectly predictive, of course, but when it comes to a young player, we expect improvement, and that's what the underlying numbers suggest we've seen. If Witt plays more to his expected stats moving forward, you're talking about a legitimate five-category contributor, and likely a first-round caliber bat. Just like we hoped he would be.

Witt has been surpassed in my rankings by Corbin Carroll, and he has been surpassed in the hearts of baseball fans by Elly De La Cruz, but he's still a very, very good young player. And the best days of his season are ahead of him. This might be a perfect opportunity to buy him, before regression takes over and he looks like the star we knew he would. It's coming. 

Here's the latest trade values and rankings heading as of Week 16: 

H2H Points league Trade Values

Rank Player Eligible Value Change From Last Week
1 Ronald Acuna DH-OF 48
2 Jose Ramirez 3B-DH 46
3 Fernando Tatis OF-SS 46
4 Shohei Ohtani DH-SP 46
5 Mookie Betts 2B-OF-SS 43
6 Juan Soto OF 41
7 Bo Bichette SS 41
8 Freddie Freeman 1B 38
9 Rafael Devers 3B 38
10 Julio Rodriguez OF 38
11 Kyle Tucker OF 37
12 Vladimir Guerrero 1B-DH 37
13 Trea Turner SS 36
14 Paul Goldschmidt 1B-DH 36
15 Bryce Harper DH 36
16 Corey Seager DH-SS 36
17 Marcus Semien 2B 36
18 Pete Alonso 1B-DH 36
19 Corbin Carroll OF 36 3
20 Austin Riley 3B 33
21 Gerrit Cole SP 33
22 Matt Olson 1B 33
23 Spencer Strider RP-SP 32
24 Yordan Alvarez DH-OF 32
25 Corbin Burnes SP 29
26 Randy Arozarena DH-OF 28
27 Max Scherzer SP 28
28 Nolan Arenado 3B-DH 28
29 Kevin Gausman SP 28
30 Jose Altuve 2B 28
31 Wander Franco SS 28
32 Luis Robert OF 28
33 Framber Valdez SP 28
34 Aaron Judge DH-OF 28
35 Kyle Schwarber DH-OF 25
36 Luis Castillo SP 25
37 Bobby Witt 3B-DH-SS 25 3
38 Josh Hader RP 25
39 Ozzie Albies 2B 25
40 Zack Wheeler SP 24
41 Aaron Nola SP 24
42 Zac Gallen SP 24
43 Cedric Mullins OF 24
44 Sandy Alcantara SP 23
45 Shane McClanahan SP 23 -6
46 Justin Verlander SP 23
47 Will Smith C-DH 22
48 Joe Musgrove SP 21
49 Devin Williams RP 21
50 Felix Bautista RP 21
51 Michael Harris OF 21
52 Jordan Romano RP 20
53 Adolis Garcia DH-OF 20
54 Francisco Lindor SS 20 2
55 Manny Machado 3B 19
56 J.T. Realmuto C 19
57 Christian Walker 1B 18
58 Yu Darvish SP 18
59 Mitch Keller SP 18 2
60 Emmanuel Clase RP 18 -7
61 Alex Bregman 3B 18
62 Cristian Javier SP 17 2
63 Clayton Kershaw SP 17 2
64 Nate Lowe 1B 16
65 Salvador Perez C-DH 16
66 Julio Urias SP 15
67 Max Muncy 2B-3B-DH 15
68 Blake Snell SP 15 2
69 Dylan Cease SP 15
70 Christian Yelich DH-OF 15
71 Shane Bieber SP 15 -4
72 Camilo Doval RP 15
73 George Springer DH-OF 15 -6
74 Bryan Reynolds DH-OF 15
75 Logan Webb SP 15
76 Joe Ryan SP 15
77 Teoscar Hernandez DH-OF 15
78 Byron Buxton DH-OF 15
79 Nathan Eovaldi SP 15
80 Pablo Lopez SP 15
81 Starling Marte OF 15
82 Mike Trout OF 15 -22
83 Ryan Pressly RP 15
84 Eloy Jimenez DH-OF 15
85 Xander Bogaerts SS 15
86 Logan Gilbert SP 15
87 Jazz Chisholm 2B-OF 15
88 Adley Rutschman C-DH 15
89 Sean Murphy C-DH 15
90 Daulton Varsho C-OF 15
91 Ketel Marte 2B-DH 15 4
92 George Kirby SP 15
93 Yandy Diaz 1B-3B-DH 15
94 Elly De La Cruz 3B-SS 15
95 Matt McLain 2B-SS 15
96 Dansby Swanson SS 15
97 Jonathan India 2B-DH 15
98 Gunnar Henderson 3B-DH-SS 15
99 Steven Kwan OF 14
100 Kenley Jansen RP 14
101 David Bednar RP 14
102 Willy Adames SS 14
103 Anthony Santander 1B-DH-OF 14
104 Nick Castellanos DH-OF 14
105 Tyler Glasnow SP 14
106 Tim Anderson SS 13
107 Nico Hoerner 2B-SS 13
108 Anthony Rizzo 1B-DH 13
109 Brandon Nimmo OF 13
110 Ian Happ OF 13
111 Jeremy Pena SS 13 2
112 Carlos Correa SS 12 2
113 Raisel Iglesias RP 12 2
114 Seiya Suzuki OF 11 -4
115 Hunter Brown RP-SP 11
116 Paul Sewald RP 10
117 Brandon Woodruff SP 10 -5
118 Ty France 1B 10
119 Nestor Cortes SP 10
120 Masataka Yoshida DH-OF 10
121 Matt Chapman 3B 9
122 Alexis Diaz RP 9
123 J.D. Martinez DH 9
124 Tommy Edman 2B-OF-SS 9 -6
125 Spencer Steer 1B-3B-OF 9 4
126 Jose Berrios SP 9
127 Alex Verdugo OF 9
128 Giancarlo Stanton DH-OF 9
129 Josh Bell 1B-DH 9
130 Sonny Gray SP 8
131 Jesus Luzardo SP 8
132 Charlie Morton SP 8
133 Lance Lynn SP 8
134 Chris Bassitt SP 8
135 Josh Jung 3B 8
136 Carlos Rodon SP 8
137 Ryan Mountcastle 1B-DH 8
138 Lucas Giolito SP 8
139 Hunter Renfroe OF 7
140 Ryan McMahon 2B-3B 7
141 Freddy Peralta SP 7
142 Luis Severino SP 7
143 Tony Gonsolin SP 6
144 Zach Eflin SP 6 4
145 Jordan Westburg SS 6
146 Bailey Ober SP 6 5
147 Brandon Lowe 2B 6
148 Jhoan Duran RP 6
149 Josh Naylor 1B-DH 6
150 Jordan Montgomery SP 5
151 Alec Bohm 1B-3B 5
152 Lourdes Gurriel DH-OF 5
153 Jordan Walker 3B-OF 5
154 Luis Arraez 1B-2B-DH 5
155 Jose Abreu 1B-DH 5 -4
156 Willson Contreras C-DH 5
157 Gleyber Torres 2B-DH 5 -3
158 Kris Bryant DH-OF 5
159 David Robertson RP 5
160 Jorge Soler DH-OF 4
161 Justin Turner 1B-3B-DH 4
162 Bobby Miller SP 4
163 William Contreras C-DH 4
164 Cody Bellinger 1B-OF 4
165 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 4
166 Ezequiel Duran 3B-DH-OF-SS 4
167 Ezequiel Tovar SS 4
168 Rowdy Tellez 1B-DH 4 -10
169 Andrew Vaughn 1B-DH-OF 4
170 Amed Rosario SS 4
171 Thairo Estrada 2B-SS 4 -5
172 Max Fried SP 4
173 C.J. Cron 1B-DH 3
174 Henry Davis C-OF 3
175 Jorge Polanco 2B 3
176 Jake Cronenworth 1B-2B 3
177 Jeff McNeil 2B-OF 3
178 Bryce Miller SP 3
179 Eduardo Rodriguez SP 3 2
180 Tarik Skubal SP 3 2
181 Merrill Kelly SP 3
182 Brandon Drury 1B-2B-3B-DH 3
183 Jon Gray SP 3
184 Riley Greene OF 3
185 Ranger Suarez SP 3
186 Jarred Kelenic OF 3
187 Joey Gallo 1B-OF 3
188 Marcell Ozuna DH-OF 3 3
189 Taijuan Walker SP 3 2
190 Andres Gimenez 2B 3
191 Lars Nootbaar OF 3
192 Reid Detmers SP 3
193 Colton Cowser OF 3 3
194 Bryson Stott 2B-SS 3
195 Nolan Gorman 2B-3B-DH 3
196 Andrew Heaney SP 3
197 Christopher Morel 2B-DH-OF 2
198 Carlos Estevez RP 2
199 Nolan Jones 1B-OF 2
200 Bryan Woo SP 2 #N/A
201 Marcus Stroman SP 2
202 Tyler Stephenson 1B-C-DH 2
203 MJ Melendez C-DH-OF 2
204 Alek Manoah SP 2 2
205 Leody Taveras OF 2 2
206 Adam Duvall OF 2
207 Francisco Alvarez C 2
208 Royce Lewis 3B-SS 2
209 Whit Merrifield 2B-OF 2
210 Ramon Laureano OF 2
211 Bryce Elder SP 2
212 Will Smith RP 2
213 Austin Hays OF 2
214 Jose Alvarado RP 2
215 Alejandro Kirk C-DH 2
216 Peter Fairbanks RP 2

Rotisserie/Categories leagues Trade Values 

Rank Player Eligible Value Change From Last Week
1 Ronald Acuna DH-OF 44
2 Fernando Tatis OF-SS 43
3 Shohei Ohtani DH-SP 42
4 Jose Ramirez 3B-DH 41
5 Corbin Carroll OF 35 2
6 Bo Bichette SS 35
7 Mookie Betts 2B-OF-SS 35
8 Freddie Freeman 1B 35
9 Juan Soto OF 33
10 Julio Rodriguez OF 33
11 Bobby Witt 3B-DH-SS 32 4
12 Rafael Devers 3B 32
13 Paul Goldschmidt 1B-DH 31
14 Bryce Harper DH 30 -2
15 Trea Turner SS 29 -2
16 Kyle Tucker OF 29
17 Austin Riley 3B 27
18 Vladimir Guerrero 1B-DH 27
19 Matt Olson 1B 27
20 Yordan Alvarez DH-OF 27
21 Gerrit Cole SP 27
22 Marcus Semien 2B 26
23 Aaron Judge DH-OF 26
24 Spencer Strider RP-SP 25
25 Pete Alonso 1B-DH 24
26 Randy Arozarena DH-OF 24
27 Corey Seager DH-SS 24
28 Nolan Arenado 3B-DH 24
29 Jose Altuve 2B 24
30 Corbin Burnes SP 23
31 Max Scherzer SP 23
32 Wander Franco SS 22
33 Kevin Gausman SP 22
34 Luis Robert OF 21
35 Luis Castillo SP 21
36 Framber Valdez SP 21
37 Elly De La Cruz 3B-SS 21
38 Shane McClanahan SP 21 -3
39 Manny Machado 3B 21
40 Kyle Schwarber DH-OF 20
41 Adolis Garcia DH-OF 20
42 Josh Hader RP 20
43 Zac Gallen SP 20
44 Ozzie Albies 2B 19
45 Cedric Mullins OF 19
46 Sandy Alcantara SP 19 2
47 Justin Verlander SP 18
48 Aaron Nola SP 17
49 Zack Wheeler SP 17
50 Joe Musgrove SP 17
51 Felix Bautista RP 16
52 Devin Williams RP 16
53 Will Smith C-DH 16
54 J.T. Realmuto C 16
55 Mitch Keller SP 16
56 Michael Harris OF 16
57 Yu Darvish SP 16
58 Jordan Romano RP 15
59 Salvador Perez C-DH 15
60 Nate Lowe 1B 15
61 Alex Bregman 3B 15
62 Francisco Lindor SS 15
63 Christian Walker 1B 15
64 Emmanuel Clase RP 15 -4
65 Christian Yelich DH-OF 15
66 Mike Trout OF 15 -14
67 Clayton Kershaw SP 15
68 Eloy Jimenez DH-OF 15
69 Camilo Doval RP 15
70 Joe Ryan SP 15
71 George Springer DH-OF 15
72 Max Muncy 2B-3B-DH 15
73 Logan Webb SP 15
74 Nathan Eovaldi SP 15
75 Dylan Cease SP 15
76 Adley Rutschman C-DH 15
77 Jazz Chisholm 2B-OF 15
78 Starling Marte OF 15
79 Daulton Varsho C-OF 15
80 Jonathan India 2B-DH 15
81 Ryan Pressly RP 15
82 Pablo Lopez SP 15
83 Shane Bieber SP 15
84 Logan Gilbert SP 15
85 George Kirby SP 15
86 Gunnar Henderson 3B-DH-SS 15
87 Teoscar Hernandez DH-OF 14
88 Julio Urias SP 14
89 Byron Buxton DH-OF 14
90 Nick Castellanos DH-OF 14
91 Xander Bogaerts SS 14
92 Yandy Diaz 1B-3B-DH 14
93 Matt McLain 2B-SS 14
94 Masataka Yoshida DH-OF 14
95 Bryan Reynolds DH-OF 14
96 Sean Murphy C-DH 14
97 Willy Adames SS 14
98 Dansby Swanson SS 14
99 Tim Anderson SS 14
100 Nico Hoerner 2B-SS 14
101 Anthony Santander 1B-DH-OF 14
102 David Bednar RP 14
103 Ty France 1B 14
104 Kris Bryant DH-OF 13
105 Jeremy Pena SS 13
106 Kenley Jansen RP 13
107 Matt Chapman 3B 13
108 Anthony Rizzo 1B-DH 13
109 Brandon Nimmo OF 13
110 Tyler Glasnow SP 13
111 Cristian Javier SP 12 -2
112 Alex Verdugo OF 12
113 Ketel Marte 2B-DH 12
114 Alexis Diaz RP 12
115 J.D. Martinez DH 12
116 Ian Happ OF 12
117 Giancarlo Stanton DH-OF 12
118 Seiya Suzuki OF 12 -3
119 Tommy Edman 2B-OF-SS 12 -2
120 Raisel Iglesias RP 11
121 Carlos Correa SS 11
122 Paul Sewald RP 11
123 Christopher Morel 2B-DH-OF 11
124 Blake Snell SP 11
125 Charlie Morton SP 11
126 Josh Naylor 1B-DH 11
127 Chris Bassitt SP 10
128 Brandon Woodruff SP 10
129 Spencer Steer 1B-3B-OF 10
130 Josh Jung 3B 10
131 Steven Kwan OF 10
132 Lourdes Gurriel DH-OF 10
133 Ryan McMahon 2B-3B 10
134 Jose Abreu 1B-DH 9
135 Josh Bell 1B-DH 9
136 Esteury Ruiz OF 9
137 Jesus Luzardo SP 9
138 Sonny Gray SP 9
139 Hunter Renfroe OF 9
140 Lucas Giolito SP 9
141 Amed Rosario SS 9
142 David Robertson RP 9
143 Nestor Cortes SP 9
144 Jhoan Duran RP 9
145 Tony Gonsolin SP 9
146 Zach Eflin SP 9 3
147 Bailey Ober SP 9 8
148 Hunter Brown RP-SP 9
149 Justin Turner 1B-3B-DH 8
150 Bryce Miller SP 8
151 Carlos Rodon SP 8
152 Ryan Mountcastle 1B-DH 8
153 Lance Lynn SP 8
154 Freddy Peralta SP 7
155 Carlos Estevez RP 7
156 Jorge Soler DH-OF 7
157 Ezequiel Duran 3B-DH-OF-SS 7
158 Jordan Walker 3B-OF 7
159 Luis Arraez 1B-2B-DH 7
160 Bobby Miller SP 7
161 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B 7
162 James Paxton SP 7
163 Cody Bellinger 1B-OF 7
164 Rowdy Tellez 1B-DH 7 -4
165 Gleyber Torres 2B-DH 7 -8
166 Jordan Montgomery SP 7
167 Jose Berrios SP 7
168 C.J. Cron 1B-DH 6
169 Jon Gray SP 6
170 Merrill Kelly SP 6
171 Thairo Estrada 2B-SS 6 -7
172 Jeff McNeil 2B-OF 6
173 Willson Contreras C-DH 6
174 Will Smith RP 6
175 William Contreras C-DH 6
176 Henry Davis C-OF 6 6
177 Andrew Vaughn 1B-DH-OF 6
178 Jordan Westburg SS 6
179 Marcus Stroman SP 6
180 Jarred Kelenic OF 6
181 Riley Greene OF 6
182 Jake Cronenworth 1B-2B 6
183 Royce Lewis 3B-SS 6
184 Javier Baez SS 6
185 Eduardo Rodriguez SP 6 2
186 Andres Gimenez 2B 6
187 Brandon Drury 1B-2B-3B-DH 6
188 Ezequiel Tovar SS 6 2
189 Tarik Skubal SP 6 3
190 Scott Barlow RP 5
191 Nolan Jones 1B-OF 5
192 Joshua Lowe DH-OF 5
193 Andrew Heaney SP 5
194 Austin Hays OF 5
195 Max Fried SP 5
196 Whit Merrifield 2B-OF 5
197 Bryson Stott 2B-SS 5 2
198 Nolan Gorman 2B-3B-DH 5
199 Michael Conforto DH-OF 5
200 Bryan Woo SP 5 5
201 Jorge Polanco 2B 5
202 Colton Cowser OF 5 5
203 Joc Pederson DH-OF 5
204 Ranger Suarez SP 5
205 Alek Manoah SP 4 4
206 Brandon Lowe 2B 4
207 Jack Suwinski OF 4
208 Evan Phillips RP 4
209 Adam Duvall OF 4
210 Taijuan Walker SP 4 3
211 Tyler Stephenson 1B-C-DH 4
212 MJ Melendez C-DH-OF 4
213 Lars Nootbaar OF 4
214 Francisco Alvarez C 4
215 Bryce Elder SP 4
216 Luis Severino SP 4
217 Giovanny Gallegos RP 4
218 Luis Matos OF 4
219 Andrew Chafin RP 4
220 Harrison Bader OF 3
221 Jorge Mateo SS 3
222 Marcell Ozuna DH-OF 3 3
223 Reid Detmers SP 3
224 Leody Taveras OF 3 3
225 Alex Lange RP 3
226 Joey Gallo 1B-OF 3
227 Craig Kimbrel RP 3
228 Miles Mikolas SP 3
229 Isaac Paredes 1B-2B-3B 3
230 Jake Fraley DH-OF 3
231 A.J. Puk RP 3
232 Kodai Senga SP 3
233 Taylor Ward OF 3
234 Michael Kopech SP 3
235 Eury Perez SP 3
236 Charlie Blackmon DH-OF 3
237 Josiah Gray SP 3 3
238 Peter Fairbanks RP 2
239 TJ Friedl OF 2
240 Cal Raleigh C-DH 2
241 Bryan De La Cruz OF 2
242 Randal Grichuk DH-OF 2
243 Spencer Torkelson 1B 2
244 Edward Cabrera SP 2
245 Alec Bohm 1B-3B 2
246 James Outman OF 2 -2
247 Scott McGough RP 2 2

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July 06, 2023 at 05:10AM
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Fantasy Baseball Trade Values: Rest-of-season rankings for H2H, Categories leagues; Bobby Witt improving? - CBS Sports
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