Colorado’s COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations are essentially flat, but that obscures widely different risks from county to county.
New infections are dropping in the Denver area, but increasing on the Western Slope and in other parts of the state with lower vaccination rates, said Talia Quandelacy, an assistant professor of epidemiology at the Colorado School of Public Health.
It’s particularly important for people in areas where relatively few others are vaccinated to get their shots as soon as possible, and to wear masks until they’re fully protected, she said.
“We’ll really start to see more local epidemics in less-vaccinated counties,” she said.
The total number of people hospitalized with COVID-19 statewide trended up most of last week, before dropping over the weekend. As of Monday afternoon, 320 people were hospitalized with confirmed or suspected COVID-19, and new admissions were down compared to the previous week, according to data from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment.
New cases fell slightly after two weeks of increases, with 2,440 reported in the week ending Sunday — 76 fewer than in the previous week. The percentage of tests coming back positive was higher than last week, though still well below the state’s 5% target.
Most of the COVID-19 cases are in the western half of the state, where vaccination rates are lower. Ten counties have the equivalent of more than 100 cases for every 100,000 people — greater than four times the rate compared to population in Denver.
The counties with the highest rates of new cases over the last week were:
- Hinsdale: 488.4 cases per 100,000 people
- Rio Blanco: 364.7
- Moffat: 271.7
- Las Animas: 207
- Archuleta: 185.7
- Routt: 167.6
- Mesa: 142.6
- Ouray: 141.9
- Rio Grande: 106.8
- Garfield: 104.7
The rate of tests coming back positive over the past week was above the 5% target in 15 counties: Archuleta, Clear Creek, Custer, Elbert, Garfield, Hinsdale, Huerfano, Las Animas, Moffat, Ouray, Park, Rio Blanco, Routt, Saguache and Summit. The higher the positivity rate, the greater the odds a county could be missing some infections.
The delta variant, which is most widespread in the western counties, may have accelerated the development of separate trends in different parts of the state, but scientists expected less-vaccinated areas would remain vulnerable longer, Quandelacy said.
The delta variant is more contagious than the previously dominant version of the virus, and may cause more severe illness, though the evidence on lethality isn’t as clear.
“I think we would have seen it play out in a similar way,” she said. “I think we’re seeing it play out faster.”
"Occur" - Google News
July 13, 2021 at 07:00PM
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Most of Colorado’s COVID spread occurring in western part of state - The Denver Post
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